Today at 3pm a roster freeze kicked in such that only deals with Las Vegas are allowed between now and when the Golden Knights make their selections.
For many a hockey fan including the Hurricanes’ faithful, the event was uneventful, boring and maybe to some degree disappointing. With the potential for teams set to lose a good player to Las Vegas, the deadline seemed to have potential for some wheeling and dealing, but in the end the only big deal that was announced was Jonathan Drouin going from Tampa Bay to Montreal for defense prospect Mikhail Sergachev and a conditional second-round draft pick on Friday. Saturday yielded only Nathan Beaulieu leaving Montreal for a third-round pick and goalie Mike Smith going to Calgary for an odd collection of assets.
As I said on Twitter, the story of the 2017 NHL Expansion Draft is Las Vegas general manager George McPhee’s ability to correctly gauge how much value he could extract for affording input and extra protection to teams and in the process becoming a dominant market maker for all of the deals. I intentionally chose the word “announced” above because there is plenty of circumstantial evidence and a few rumors/notes from sources to indicate that Las Vegas did a number of deals and collected a reasonable haul of futures for their effort.
The Hurricanes upshot
The 3pm deadline and lack of Hurricanes’ deals
Like the vast majority of NHL teams, the Hurricanes did not make any moves leading up to the 3pm deadline. That made for a boring day for those tracking it all on Twitter. I am on record as suggesting that Hurricanes general manager Ron Francis might be able to exploit some interesting market inefficiencies before and after the expansion draft to continue his roster building for 2017-18. But without details as to what was possible or what deals might have been offered or considered, it is impossible to assess whether Francis did what he could (even though it resulted in nothing) or if there were opportunities that he missed. Considering the fact that no one else did deals either is at least one measure of the market and complexity of getting something done.
The path forward
Important to note is that there is not benefit and no benefit to completing the 2017-18 roster early. The deadline is early October or maybe to some degree mid-September for the start of training camp, the difference between wrapping things up Labor Day weekend versus before the Fourth of July counts for nothing.
In addition, the landscape and opportunities are still pretty much what they were pre-expansion draft roster freeze. One potential target in Jonathan Drouin did come off the board and in the process probably decreased the likelihood that Ondrej Palat or Tyler Johnson are available from Tampa Bay. But by far the vast majority of players who were available this week will still be available on Thursday when business reopens.
The next three-day window
When the dust settles on the expansion draft and teams are again allowed to cut deals starting Thursday morning, a significant three-day window will open for the Hurricanes. One of the assets that Ron Francis has in abundance for acquiring another key player or two is draft picks. He used one to acquire Scott Darling and still has three extra early-round (two second round and one third round) picks that to some degree expire on Saturday morning when the Hurricanes will use them if they are not traded. The prospects that the Hurricanes gain with these picks would also be something that they could trade, but draft picks are a much better currency because they allow the acquiring team to get who they want which will often be different than who the Hurricanes select. That is not to say that Francis cannot or will not be able to deal after next week’s draft. He will. But there is some amount of urgency and incentive to use the window between Thursday and Saturday morning before the draft picks are used.
Keep the faith Canes fans! Francis needs to make one big deal (and a few smaller ones), and there is plenty of time to do so.
Go Canes!
He didn’t make any deals. But he didn’t get fleeced, either. Besides, we can still get someone good from a cap strapped team.
I suppose we should have seen this coming – the non-event of ED-induced trades. The trades were thick with McPhee – you can just about guarantee that – as teams sought to protect key players that will be unprotected but safe from Vegas. They made the ED rules in such a way that it looked like Vegas would be able to draft a decent team and that was all the talk in Vegas – icing a good team in their inaugural season. Now they will have castoffs and prospects, for the most part, and probably a very typical expansion team in terms of quality.
A buzz kill at many levels. 🙂
I will be honest–not what I expected at all. I predicted at least one trade involving Carolina pre-expansion draft and one between expansion draft and entry draft. Pretty sure I was wrong about the latter too. The LV lineup isn’t likely contain any players that RF would want to acquire. As tj states, it looks like the Golden Knights will be castoffs.
What should now be interesting is to see if LV uses it stockpiled picks to trade for established players that weren’t available through the expansion or if they go after one or two high-profile UFAs to create fan buzz while creating a pool of young prospects that will instantly be among the best in the league.
I still expect RF will use multiple picks in an offer, just not sure at this point if I understand the pricing/options in the market.
All that speculation, fine analysis, and hand-wringing for nothing. I was so ready to have my day interrupted by something lineup-altering but … ’twas not to be.
I chalk it up to the complexity of the situation. Come Thursday, things get back to normal and we should seethe usual pre-entry-draft actitivity. I hope.
The fact that the team doesn’t have to be complete now, or soon doesn’t mean you have as good a chance of improving the team by waiting. If you could make a difference by getting someone now, why wait for someone else to jump in front of you? He who hesitates…is lost!
Maybe no one was ready or interested in trading…we may never know? …but yeah, it’s disappointing! Wouldn’t it be nice to know what goes on?