We have reached the point in the season where for teams in the middle of the pack for the playoff chase every game is important. With the Hurricanes coming off a loss on Tuesday and looking at a tough back-to-back, the spotlight is amplified even a bit more.
While I do not see Francis acting aggressively to win any pricey bidding wars at the trade deadline even if the Hurricanes are in the playoff hunt, I do think 2 types of moves are possible. The first is a move aimed not just at 2016-17 but also the long-term (this is where a Duchene deal fits). The second would be to spend a small amount to improve the chances for 2016-17. If nothing else emerges and looks solid soon, one possibility would be to add a backup goalie.
The goalie situation continues to do some combination of intriguing, worrying and perplexing me.
On Thursday, I posted ’round 2′ of goalie polls. See results and vote if you have not already HERE.
Those were on top of a set of goalie polls only a week earlier.
Of late, the plan in net has been to trot Ward out each and every night. Because that plan is unsustainable in general and for certain in March when things get busy, I continue to watch the play of Cam Ward, any comments/clues from Peters or Francis on goaltending and anything else goalie-related very closely.
I think this weekend has the potential to spur both Francis’ direction and urgency for the next month.
Cam Ward
Cam Ward had a really rough outing in Tuesday’s loss and was gone by the midway point after letting in multiple soft goals. I detailed each goal including Ward’s role in them in my game recap. I am not inclined to just call Ward’s play Tuesday a 1-game anomaly. I also wrote in detail about the Hurricanes’ goaltending situation a week ago prior to the Columbus game when the buzz was just beginning.
Ward has had some strong starts in January with the high point being a strong efforts in both halves of a road back-to-back with travel against St. Louis and Chicago. But even while winning at home last week, he was suspect at times with 2 puck-handling miscues that became goals against and also a few other miscues.
With Tuesday’s loss being a low point for Ward in recent times, I think Friday is an important game for him and potentially a fork in the road for assessing the situation in general. If Ward plays well and the Hurricanes win, Tuesday looks like a random bad game and an anomaly. If Ward struggles again on Friday, it makes 2 in a row and increases the possibility that Ward has hit a wall physically and/or mentally with the heavy work load such that the situation needs to be rectified.
You can bet that Cam Ward will be high on the list of ‘what I’m watching’ for Friday’s game against the Penguins.
Michael Leighton on Saturday?
Coach Bill Peters’ has not made a firm commitment, but all indications are that Michael Leighton will make a start on Saturday night in Columbus ending Ward’s run of consecutive starts at 21. Leighton was returned to Charlotte this week for game action on Tuesday and Wednesday presumably as a tune up and to shake any rest off in preparation for an NHL start on Saturday.
It would be Leighton’s third start at the NHL level this season. Leighton started slow but was ultimately stellar in a 3-2 home win over Tampa Bay on November 27. Happy with the first outing, Bill Peters began to deploy him like a regular backup and came back to him a week later to split a back-to-back set between the 2 goalies. The Hurricanes lost on the road to the Rangers 4-2 and Leighton was ‘meh’ at best. And that was the end of him. Now approaching 2 months later, he has not had another chance at the NHL level despite a decent 1-1 mark in starts (he actually won the wild Canucks game in relief).
Long, long ago, Leighton was a red hot goalie with a roughly 1.00 goals against average at the AHL level and with the potential to be ridden while he was hot. Then he was a decent backup in a limited sample size with a 1-1 mark and 1 really good outing to boot. Now 48 days since his last NHL start, it is anyone’s guess what the Saturday version of Michael Leighton will be.
Various possible outcomes
Assuming Ward plays on Friday and Leighton on Saturday, there are a wide array of possible outcomes.
If Ward plays really well on Friday and Leighton plays really well on Saturday and the Hurricanes collect 3 or 4 points, all will be right in the Hurricanes’ world, and general manager Ron Francis can lean back in his chair and watch with a little less anxiety. Leighton should then be deemed good enough to take the next backup start (maybe not until a February 3/4 back-to-back), and any concerns that Ward might be wearing down would at least temporarily be alleviated.
If Ward plays well on Friday but Leighton does not on Saturday, that could be okay short-term. The team’s schedule is 1-goalie friendly short-term, and Eddie Lack is practicing. Such an outcome is not a disaster, and maybe just has Francis waiting for Lack to take the next try in the backup slot.
If Ward plays poorly, and Leighton plays poorly, it could force Francis’ to expedite his late-February work and possibly even adjust his priorities. A poor outing from Ward at a minimum increases the possibility that Ward needs more days off. And a bad outing from Leighton suggests that he is not a great option to spell Ward. At a minimum, that sends Francis checking the time table for a Lack return and possibly even starting to shop for more goalie help.
The upshot
As long as Ward plays well, Francis has time. If the Hurricanes are going to contend for a playoff spot in March, Francis does eventually need to find a #2 goalie. Leighton is the currently available option, and it seems possible that Lack presents an alternative fairly soon (probably after a rehab stint in Charlotte). And only after neither of those works out (again as long as Ward is playing well) does Francis need to explore other options.
If Ward and Leighton flop, it at least becomes feasible that Francis looks outside the organization to trade for help. Part of this depends on Eddie Lack’s expected time table, but it is important to note that Lack did not exactly set the world on fire earlier this year, and when he next plays in an NHL game, it will be approaching 3 months since his last NHL start on November 6.
Again, the light schedule helps to some degree (especially if Ward rebounds), but the play of both goalies this weekend could start Francis at least exploring options on the trade market, and it could also have him slow down a little bit on other discussions saving trade assets in case necessary to shore up the goalie position.
If nothing else, we have a hockey team in the playoff chase and the drama and tension that comes with it. That is very much a good thing.
Go Canes!
Not only could these next few games drive RF’s future decision-making, they could also decide the Cane’s playoff hopes. Now is the time that we take advantage of the games in hand over the Flyers, as well as stay ahead of the other teams nipping at our heels. Each game we burn with a loss, means points left on the table that would otherwise propel us into the promised land. So these games are huge. And concerning Ward? You’ve pretty much summed it up in this article and your other excellent articles. I’ve watched him pretty much his whole career, and the one thing that’s frustrated me the most about his play, is his penchant to allow the back breaking soft goal. This is either through a misplay of the puck, the chronic short-side “shoulder beater”, or his weak glove hand. He also has a tendency to play meek behind screens, instead of fighting for position. Which results in the frustrating blue point floater that finds its way behind him. But by now, we know what we have in Cam – a goalie who can make the incredible save one minute, then allow the agonizing soft goal the next minute. And his career stats seem to reflect this – he’s been a middle of the road NHL goaltender, nothing more, nothing less… let’s just hope his typical 3 goals allowed can be offset by the slow increase in our offensive production. My hopes aren’t high.
The reality is that the Hurricanes season gets determined in March. Not before and not after. Last season after the trade deadline we had 17 games. This season we have 17 games in March and a total of 23 after the TDL.
The gauntlet begins in February, even though the schedule is light (10 games). The competition is a mixed bag but it isn’t beyond the realm of the imagination that we could go 7-3 that month.
Starting with game 42, if we won 2 out of every 3 then we would end up with something like 97 points, which I believe squeaks us into the playoffs. Well, we have won 2 out of our first 3. The next three are telling but not required. We’ve got 5 – 3 in January. If we could finish the month with a record of 8-5 that would be great. Even 7-6 wouldn’t be the worst thing but we’d have to play Feb. tough, like I mentioned above.
In the end we need 48 to 50 points in these next 38 games.
Ward is the same old ward, slow, cannot control rebounds, cannot pass or skate with puck. Do not blame D for his errors, he is a number 2 goalie and no more, 31 years old and continues to play from knees, get a #1 in here now!!!
I have been a season ticket holder since day one, bring in some freaking talent.
Make the effort.
Pens buy championship, we sit here and do nothing,
Bring in a goldie and #1 center.
Wrong people on wrong lines!!!!!!!
Rask is not a number one center
Ryan is a 3rd line player
McGinn is at best 3rd line.
Aho and Tuevo should be on 2nd line, more ice time.
Faulk IS NOT an all star (trade him or Hanifin for Matt Duchene)
Hanifin needs to play with big balls, he is soft, where is that #5 pick talent, do not see it on either side of puck.
Brind A’Mour (love him), but NOT a power play coach, bring some else in to coach power play, GET RID OF Marcoux (he has stunk it up since day one, he is Wards guy, it shows, Ward still is awful, cannot stop easy shots for the life of him).
Make some trades now!!!!!!!
Pondhockey…you nailed it!
Wardo has never played consistently well. This year’s start and the last few games is his normal (up/down)! BUT IT’S NEARLY CRIMINAL that RF has not done a thing to EVEN acquire a decent guy, nor play Leighton enough to evaluate his game!
Yes, we also need a talented top6 forward too, but RFs retirement acct. Is MORE IMPORTANT, eh?!!