Yesterday’s Daily Cup of Joe worked player by player through the Hurricanes’ forward ranks identifying strengths, weaknesses and skill sets relative to building lines for the 2019-20 season. If you missed that prelude, you can find that article HERE.
Today’s Daily Cup of Joe takes a next step toward building lines but categorizing players into different skill sets and types.
Categories of players
Centers — Sebastian Aho, Jordan Staal, Lucas Wallmark
In reality, I think all four of the Hurricanes center slots are as close to set in stone as can be for this time including the other center Erik Haula. But if things do not click lineup-wise, Haula is slightly more likely to be moved to wing to try someone else in the middle of a third line aimed scoring.
The other three are anchored at the center slot. Without the addition of a higher-end playmaking type center, Aho is the only real option to center a true top scoring line. And considering how quickly he adapted this role last season any ‘shaking things up’ would involve moving the wings around him. Jordan Staal is just phenomenal at what he does in the middle of the ice as an elite match up center. And Lucas Wallmark’s skill set is really only suited for this role. He does not have the wheels to play wing in Brind’Amour’s system, and even if he did giving up his greatest strength as a heady read/react center behind the play to instead put him a role where he would be sub-par just makes no sense.
Where they fit: I think having this group pretty fixed including roles and pecking order even decreases somewhat the number of things Brind’Amour must try in camp knowing at least how the lineup looks down the middle.
Finishing wings — Andrei Svechnikov, Nino Niederreiter, Ryan Dzingel, Teuvo Teravainen
I view this group as the set of players as the set of wings currently on the roster who could push to 30 goals or more in the right situation if things clicked. Because of the youth of the roster, there is always a chance that one of the other young players suddenly takes a leap up, but as foreseeable projections go, I think 25 goals would be a push for any of the other wings. Martin Necas is the exception but because of his inexperience at least to start the season, I am not putting him in this group. As such, I think this is the group that needs to do the heavy lifting in terms of scoring and being the key players in building one if not two solid scoring lines.
Where they fit: Because I think you want to maximize Aho’s playmaking, I think this group is the set of players who make sense on Aho’s line. I guess one could try one of the forecheckers to bring a different element, but my thinking is that you give up too much in finishing to do so.
Fierce forecheckers on the left side — Brock McGinn, Warren Foegele, Jordan Martinook, Saku Maenalanen, Ryan Dzingel, Clark Bishop
The defining characteristic of Brind’Amour’s system and style of play was a fierce forechecking system that leaned left. With Micheal Ferland also in two last season, the team had a somewhat interchangeable set of left wings that all did the same thing. The result was that when in doubt and without a better option, the team knew it could throw the puck to the far wall on the left side, and everyone knew what to do from there. With the exception of Dzingel and Necas, this group is maybe a little light on raw finishing ability, but again these lunchpailers are the ignition switch for what Brind’Amour wants to do.
Where they fit: No doubt Brind’Amour’s puck pressuring system will again feature a left-leaning forecheck with some combination of this group filling the same role as last year. Worth noting is that though I do think Staal’s match up line could feature one or two players from this group, that role does need at least one other player who is a heady read/react type. Two ‘pin your ears back and charge’ types will too often leave Staal in difficult defending transition in the middle of the rink by himself.
Heady two-way wings — Teuvo Teravainen, Saku Maenalanen, Janne Kuokkanen
Including only two players in this group is not to say that the other Canes wings are not capable defensively. Rather, I think most of the rest of the group lean slightly if not more to just playing with an F1, fly at the puck, mentality as a habit. This is a positive and fits well in Brind’Amour’s system, but I think for Staal’s role, his line needs at least one other player who leans toward sorting things out somewhat like a center behind the play. Janne Kuokkanen lost mind share being injured during all of the excitement during the second half of the year in both Raleigh and Charlotte, but he is another Finnish wing who generally rates well for being sound defensively which could work on Staal’s line if he rebounds and plays his way back up into the NHL mix.
Where they fit: Ideally, I think Staal’s line could use a player like this with a more aggressive forechecker on the other side.
Unbridled offense — Andrei Svechnikov, Ryan Dzingel, Martin Necas
For different reasons, all three of these players lean offense such that it could make sense to shelter one or more of them, and I am not sure they make sense on Staal’s line. Svechnikov made some progress late in the season at least with reducing his stick infractions, but he enters the 2019-20 season still very much a work in progress defensively. Ryan Dzingel comes with a reputation for leaning offense over defense. And Martin Necas like Svechnikov has natural ability offensively but a ways to go defensively.
Where they fit: As much as anything, I think these players fit best away from Staal. I suppose Brind’Amour could disagree if he goes for balance and offsets, but I really think the Hurricanes forward personnel fits better with purpose-built lines. If my reasoning wins out, I think Brind’Amour could use two of these players around Haula on an opportunistic scoring line that can be steered away from dangerous match ups.
Dark horses for scoring upside — Julien Gauthier, Morgan Geekie
With the departure of Justin Williams, the Hurricanes are basically plus two and minus two in terms of scoring forwards losing Williams and Ferland and adding Haula and Dzingel. As such, the door could be cracked open ever so slightly if one of the AHL scoring wings dials it up in preseason.
Where they fit: Odds are that both of these players are destined for the AHL, but a quick two goals in a preseason game would garner attention especially if Necas does not wow and an injury opens up another forward slot.
What say you Canes fans?
1) What do you think of my categories for players?
2) Who has a different category or two for grouping players and understanding how they can best be utilized?
Go Canes!
I like your suggestion of keeping the finishers off of Staal’s line. I think the early performance of Haula will go a long way in determining the lines to start the season and whether RBA trusts him to lead a second scoring line with finishers – or whether RBA puts a finisher with Staal.
Everyone has Necas penciled, for good reason, but I wouldn’t be shocked to see Geekie or KK make a statement in camp and preseason. Could be a really difficult decision in the end.
Staal has had some success offensively in the past. Especially when with Turbo and Aho. So putting him with a playmaker like TT balances out the lines.
RBA was very steady in his line combinations, unlike some coaches. sometimes we think too much about combinations when it is the player who needs to play his game and execute.
Can this team stand up to the physical challenges of teams like the Isles, Boston and Washington? I think other teams will try a power game instead of speed.
Line juggling has never been a skill set of mine. Here in early September several things make it feel premature anyway. 1. Is it because Don Waddell’s just doesn’t seem to be one to stand pat? Something in my bones leaves me convinced there is another significant trade coming in September. 2. Contract realities can (and should) drive roster decisions. Faulk and TVR are pending UFAs. Faulk has a NMC, and TVR is rehabbing from surgery. There is a backlog of defensemen who appear to be solid 3rd line options and would never make it through waivers. The situation is screaming “trade” at me. 3. Remembering the pre-injury “Ferland effect” leaves me wanting a nuclear deterrent on the ice this season. The Capitals additions of Gudas and Hathaway reinforces the feeling further. 4. The Toronto 1st round pick for Marleau is burning a hole in my pocket. There needs to be value from the cap situation created by his deal.
What you said, man.
How about Justin Faulk and Julian Gauthier to Chicago for Conner Murphy and a third round pick in 2020.
Then Toronto’s 1st rounder and a prospect to Maurice’s Marauders for Blake Wheeler and a third round pick?
interesting, see Devante Smith-Pelly vs Connor Murphy Feb 17, 2018 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-m__VNhwhsM. Murphy put a hit on Oshie and then DSP goes after Connor. Either would be a good addition.
DSP had a bad case of Stanley Cup Hangover.
Blake Wheeler would be awesome, but think it would take more to get him. At least an NHL player(Staal?). I would think the GM and coach Mo are on the hot seat so they need to win big this year.
All those RFA’s need to sign before moves are made. We have Aho which is great for us; the missing RFA’s will hurt their team’s chances.
I second Darth’s comment about the possibility of Geekie or KK or someone else (in addition to Necas) stepping up a camp this year. Geekie was the 1C on the Calder Cup winning team where we let 2C and 3C (Brown and Roy) go.
And I will “third” surgalt’s comments.
I think you are under rating Foegele. In the playoffs only Teravainen scored more goals (7), AND Aho, Foegele each had five!
(15 gms)
He’s young and learning pretty fast, so I can see him scoring around twenty goals (ten in regular season last year).
Is anyone out there familiar with the “toughness” Maenalanen brings to the Canes? He is larger than Murphy, whose career offensive stats are light weight.