2015-16 Carolina Hurricanes fantasy hockey preview

2015-16 Carolina Hurricanes fantasy hockey preview

When a team finishes 26th in the NHL standings, 27th in goals scored and a significant part of the problem is underperformance by top players not scoring enough, the team’s players become afterthoughts for people drafting fantasy hockey teams.  That is about where the Carolina Hurricanes players enter the 2015-16 season as far as fantasy prospects.  But for those who do deeper research and play to win, this is exactly where you find diamonds in the rough and on the cheap – players who had a bad season and quickly revert back so some higher level of play. Especially in fantasy hockey drafts where people undervalue good players who had down years, I think there could be some strong low risk/high reward pickups on the Carolina Hurricanes 2015-16 roster. 2014-15 => 2015-16: The Hurricanes finished 27th in goals scored and an average 15th in terms of power play efficiency.  While I would not expect the team to vault immediately to the top of the NHL in scoring, I think there is some upside here.  The power play sees the loss of Alexander Semin (who struggled last year anyway), Jiri Tlusty and Andrej Sekera.  The power play adds James Wisniewski, Kris Versteeg, possibly more minutes from Ryan Murphy and a possible showing from Noah Hanifin.  Jeff Skinner and Eric Staal bring 2 proven NHL scorers, and players like Jordan Staal and Elias Lindholm offer more options. When I net it out, I think it is reasonable to expect that the power play performs similarly with modest upside potential.  I also think that the 2014-15 total scoring is a floor that...
Couple thoughts on 2014-15 Plus/Minus

Couple thoughts on 2014-15 Plus/Minus

For anyone annoyed by the repeat on the main page of the same graphic for “Daily Cup of Joe”, I hear you.  On the list of things to work on in August is pulling in a bigger set of graphics/photos.  There will also be more variation once there are more posts across different categories.  Patience is appreciated. Yes.  I realize that by even mentioning the +/- stat, I have immediately declared myself an idiot and someone who does not understand the game in this age of advanced stats.  And less sarcastically, I do realize that there are a ton of limitations to looking at +/- without context. The simplicity of the stat is both its appeal and its downfall. It is a very simple measure of if the team is winning at even strength when a given player is on the ice. NOT counting power plays and penalty kills, if a player is on the ice when his team scores, he gets +1. If a player is on the ice when the other team scores (again not counting power plays or penalty kills), he gets a minus. The problem is its lack of measuring cause or accounting for situational determinants. Justin Faulk was near the bottom of the team and well below breakeven in +/-. This is simply because he played a ton of minutes for a team that was not very good.  Someone once told me jokingly that the best way to have a good +/- on a bad team is to get injured. This is actually true since you get a breakeven +0 when you do not play....
‘By the Numbers’ Category Guide

‘By the Numbers’ Category Guide

This blog category will be used for statistical and numbers-focused Carolina Hurricanes blogs including things like advanced stats, analytics, NHL salary cap analysis, etc. Short term, the any regular blogs will appear under this category when appropriate.  Longer term, Canes and Coffee will consider adding a blogger focused primarily on Carolina Hurricanes hockey advanced stats and and analytics.   Photo note: Photo not from...